By James Kwak
A reader alerted me to the World Cup forecasting competition, which includes links to the predictions made by several major investment banks’ models, and some data you can use if you want to give it a shot. The predictions:
- JPMorgan Chase: England
- UBS: Brazil (UBS also has South Africa as the team most likely to make the second round, which seems surprising.)
- Goldman: Brazil
- Danske Bank: Brazil
I typically root for France, because I started following soccer while living in France back in the early 1990s, but I don’t think I can this time because (a) they don’t deserve to be in the World Cup Finals, having beaten Ireland on an obvious hand ball and (b) I can’t stand their coach, who has managed to transform an incredibly talented group of players into a mediocre team.