<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss" xmlns:geo="http://www.w3.org/2003/01/geo/wgs84_pos#" xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Snowball: Strategies For Banking Reform</title>
	<atom:link href="http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/</link>
	<description>What happened to the global economy and what we can do about it</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 02:32:50 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.com/</generator>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
		<item>
		<title>By: HG</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17947</link>
		<dc:creator>HG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 20:46:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17947</guid>
		<description>I completely agree with Mike&#039;s suggested &#039;early success&#039; strategy--as doable and politically prudent. Let&#039;s not draw out the pain.  Is there any downside to an early success?  

Now on the culture comments...I think there are a lot of org. behavioral profs out there who do think that company culture transcends a leader...and as far as Dimon goes.  He didn&#039;t build JPMorgan...he just currently runs the show...I view him as pretty dispensable--and probably didn&#039;t really change the culture of JPMorgan when he came on board from Bank One??  Just my perspective...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I completely agree with Mike&#8217;s suggested &#8216;early success&#8217; strategy&#8211;as doable and politically prudent. Let&#8217;s not draw out the pain.  Is there any downside to an early success?  </p>
<p>Now on the culture comments&#8230;I think there are a lot of org. behavioral profs out there who do think that company culture transcends a leader&#8230;and as far as Dimon goes.  He didn&#8217;t build JPMorgan&#8230;he just currently runs the show&#8230;I view him as pretty dispensable&#8211;and probably didn&#8217;t really change the culture of JPMorgan when he came on board from Bank One??  Just my perspective&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: The Bellows &#187; Whose Side is Time On?</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17887</link>
		<dc:creator>The Bellows &#187; Whose Side is Time On?</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 14:08:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17887</guid>
		<description>[...] In its do-it-all-at-once approach, the adminstration seems to be following Mike Lux&#8217;s &#8220;snowball&#8221; strategy for reform &#8212; you defeat one interest and it becomes easier to defeat the next [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] In its do-it-all-at-once approach, the adminstration seems to be following Mike Lux&#8217;s &#8220;snowball&#8221; strategy for reform &#8212; you defeat one interest and it becomes easier to defeat the next [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: The Gold Standard &#187; Reading links</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17454</link>
		<dc:creator>The Gold Standard &#187; Reading links</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 14:50:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17454</guid>
		<description>[...] at The Baseline Scenario (one of my favourite blogs), Simon Johnson points to an interesting possibility: that the Obama administration might have tactically retreated on [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] at The Baseline Scenario (one of my favourite blogs), Simon Johnson points to an interesting possibility: that the Obama administration might have tactically retreated on [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Chris Rogers</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17372</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris Rogers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 04:25:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17372</guid>
		<description>Sorry chaps,
But don&#039;t buy in to the &#039;snowball&#039; effect at this juncture in time.
Currently on Capitol Hill high level discussions are underway regarding major reforms to the regulatory structure of finance within the US, similar debates are taking place in the European Union - remember the G20 meeting anyone.
All discussions currently have been slow about reforming the system, that reform is necessary is a &#039;no brainer, regardless of the &#039;big boys&#039; repaying TARP funds.
What shape this new system will take is any ones guess currently, and of course the recipients of TARP are trying to inform the agenda with their parasitic lobbyists in Washington.
However, as stated, you need to think carefully about reforming the regulatory environment of the US - which is highly complex due to both State requirements and Federal government requirements - something countries like the UK do not have to worry about.
Having dealt with a few senior figures at the Fed recently, most actually would concur with Simon&#039;s advice on reform, but a unitary or &#039;twin peaks&#039; regulatory environment is impossible under the Constitution, ie, States rights verses Federal rights.
I believe most policy makers are also aware that knee jerk reactions and ill conceived reforms can backfire as much as no reform whatsoever - please see the real effect of Sarbanes Oxley, which again did not prevent the current crisis, even though as William Seidman once observed, &quot;those that sign-off on financial figures as true and accurate are liable to prosecution if the opposite is the case.&quot; Indeed, if Charles Bowsher does not wish to sign off on financial statements under the revised Rule 157, something really must be wrong.
Hence, root and branch reform is necessary, all observers understand this, however, Geithner and the Wall Street clique will fight tooth and nail to avoid this, or at least water it down.
The fact remains that the bankster have thus far cost the US taxpayer US$12 trillion and counting, the world is in a recession and financial service regulatory reform is both under discussion and in many instances underway.
For me, I just hope the views of Bowsher et al prevail in Washington.
But from a constitutional point of view just wanted you to be made aware that the debate is not restricted to Washington alone, and this has a tendency to muddy the water and allows the parasitic lobbyists to exert influence that quite frankly should be banned outright.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry chaps,<br />
But don&#8217;t buy in to the &#8217;snowball&#8217; effect at this juncture in time.<br />
Currently on Capitol Hill high level discussions are underway regarding major reforms to the regulatory structure of finance within the US, similar debates are taking place in the European Union &#8211; remember the G20 meeting anyone.<br />
All discussions currently have been slow about reforming the system, that reform is necessary is a &#8216;no brainer, regardless of the &#8216;big boys&#8217; repaying TARP funds.<br />
What shape this new system will take is any ones guess currently, and of course the recipients of TARP are trying to inform the agenda with their parasitic lobbyists in Washington.<br />
However, as stated, you need to think carefully about reforming the regulatory environment of the US &#8211; which is highly complex due to both State requirements and Federal government requirements &#8211; something countries like the UK do not have to worry about.<br />
Having dealt with a few senior figures at the Fed recently, most actually would concur with Simon&#8217;s advice on reform, but a unitary or &#8216;twin peaks&#8217; regulatory environment is impossible under the Constitution, ie, States rights verses Federal rights.<br />
I believe most policy makers are also aware that knee jerk reactions and ill conceived reforms can backfire as much as no reform whatsoever &#8211; please see the real effect of Sarbanes Oxley, which again did not prevent the current crisis, even though as William Seidman once observed, &#8220;those that sign-off on financial figures as true and accurate are liable to prosecution if the opposite is the case.&#8221; Indeed, if Charles Bowsher does not wish to sign off on financial statements under the revised Rule 157, something really must be wrong.<br />
Hence, root and branch reform is necessary, all observers understand this, however, Geithner and the Wall Street clique will fight tooth and nail to avoid this, or at least water it down.<br />
The fact remains that the bankster have thus far cost the US taxpayer US$12 trillion and counting, the world is in a recession and financial service regulatory reform is both under discussion and in many instances underway.<br />
For me, I just hope the views of Bowsher et al prevail in Washington.<br />
But from a constitutional point of view just wanted you to be made aware that the debate is not restricted to Washington alone, and this has a tendency to muddy the water and allows the parasitic lobbyists to exert influence that quite frankly should be banned outright.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tippy Golden</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17369</link>
		<dc:creator>Tippy Golden</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 03:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17369</guid>
		<description>Success can snowball, said Mike Lux.

Robert Reich is doing something very-very interesting right now. He has identified health care reform, and financial reform, as the two big fights coming up for the Obama administration.

Reich&#039;s blog is at: http://robertreich.blogspot.com/

It looks like the first &quot;big fight&quot; is health care reform by virtue of timing. If the health care reform is meaningful, it will bode well for financial reform.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Success can snowball, said Mike Lux.</p>
<p>Robert Reich is doing something very-very interesting right now. He has identified health care reform, and financial reform, as the two big fights coming up for the Obama administration.</p>
<p>Reich&#8217;s blog is at: <a href="http://robertreich.blogspot.com/" rel="nofollow">http://robertreich.blogspot.com/</a></p>
<p>It looks like the first &#8220;big fight&#8221; is health care reform by virtue of timing. If the health care reform is meaningful, it will bode well for financial reform.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Min</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17368</link>
		<dc:creator>Min</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 03:50:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17368</guid>
		<description>On Obama&#039;s tactics:

Remember his history. As editor in chief of the Harvard Law Review he worked with opposing factions to produce a quality publication. As a community organizer he had to harmonize different interests, to resolve actual and potential conflicts. His mistake -- I think it is a mistake -- in dealing with his political opponents is that they are far more intractable than students or ordinary citizens. Their interest lies in foiling and defeating him, and that is an interest that he cannot reconcile. He may, in time, win some of them over, or change tactics. We shall see.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Obama&#8217;s tactics:</p>
<p>Remember his history. As editor in chief of the Harvard Law Review he worked with opposing factions to produce a quality publication. As a community organizer he had to harmonize different interests, to resolve actual and potential conflicts. His mistake &#8212; I think it is a mistake &#8212; in dealing with his political opponents is that they are far more intractable than students or ordinary citizens. Their interest lies in foiling and defeating him, and that is an interest that he cannot reconcile. He may, in time, win some of them over, or change tactics. We shall see.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: chas</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17366</link>
		<dc:creator>chas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 03:34:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17366</guid>
		<description>What Obama needs to do is to bring in some new, qualified people to replace the old unqualified ones. He needs to get rid of those who have proven themselves to be too dumb or too lazy or both. Proven failures. It’s not like there aren&#039;t a large number of very qualified people out there to replace the failures. 

And the failures truly thing they are succeeding when all they have done besides failing to prevent this crisis is to put a temporary patch on a failed overleveraged banking system and shifted the problem to a failed over leveraged Treasury &amp; failed overleveraged Federal Reserve. A real success story but, probably not the one Obama was looking for.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What Obama needs to do is to bring in some new, qualified people to replace the old unqualified ones. He needs to get rid of those who have proven themselves to be too dumb or too lazy or both. Proven failures. It’s not like there aren&#8217;t a large number of very qualified people out there to replace the failures. </p>
<p>And the failures truly thing they are succeeding when all they have done besides failing to prevent this crisis is to put a temporary patch on a failed overleveraged banking system and shifted the problem to a failed over leveraged Treasury &amp; failed overleveraged Federal Reserve. A real success story but, probably not the one Obama was looking for.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Min</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17365</link>
		<dc:creator>Min</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 03:33:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17365</guid>
		<description>&quot;In particular, if banks make further mistakes – even if not on the recent scale – this will shift opinion towards reform.  Jamie Dimon, for example, has another brilliant statement on why banking, or at least JP Morgan Chase, should be allowed to go back to “business as usual”.  But his reasoning rests largely on the idea that JP Morgan has a culture that can manage risk, forever.

From all accounts, Dimon’s personality and demeanor are a critical determinant of the firm’s culture in general and the fact that it (partly) sat out the housing craze.  Everything we know about the evolution of firms is that while some aspects of culture survive growth and a rise to predominance (and JP Morgan is now #1, in case you’re keeping score), generally attitudes change as top people change.  And any rise to power brings with it potential sclerosis of various kinds – just ask Citigroup or Bank of America.&quot;

Rule of law or rule of human beings? Civilization has advanced largely by increasing the role of law in governing our lives. But the law cannot prevent every ill without becoming a draconian burden, spawning ills of its own. In the end we cannot escape the human factor. Nor should we fear it. We are humans, not machines or cyborgs.

To many suggestions of regulatory reform we get the reply, Yes, but. Or rather, the reply that it will not work because clever executives or lawyers will find a way to evae or subvert the regulations. This reflects a corporate culture that indeed attempts to do just that. Someone pointed out on a different blog recently that if you do a web search for &quot;citi fines&quot; you find a record that looks like one from a criminal enterprise. That suggest both a failure of regulation and a serious defect in corporate culture. 

Mr. Diamond speaks out for a responsible corporate culture, one in line with traditional American &quot;main street&quot; values, not the &quot;greed is good&quot; culture of Wall Street. His words are welcome, but that does not mean that we should not improve and strengthen regulation. We need both better regulation and cultural change.

While Diamond&#039;s personality and character have a great deal to do with the corporate culture of J. P. Morgan, I suspect that that culture has not changed very much from how it was under J. P. Morgan, the man. Remember, it was he who took the lead in the crisis of 1907. 

I applaud Mr. Diamond&#039;s words, and hope that they have some effect upon the corporate cultures of his fellows.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;In particular, if banks make further mistakes – even if not on the recent scale – this will shift opinion towards reform.  Jamie Dimon, for example, has another brilliant statement on why banking, or at least JP Morgan Chase, should be allowed to go back to “business as usual”.  But his reasoning rests largely on the idea that JP Morgan has a culture that can manage risk, forever.</p>
<p>From all accounts, Dimon’s personality and demeanor are a critical determinant of the firm’s culture in general and the fact that it (partly) sat out the housing craze.  Everything we know about the evolution of firms is that while some aspects of culture survive growth and a rise to predominance (and JP Morgan is now #1, in case you’re keeping score), generally attitudes change as top people change.  And any rise to power brings with it potential sclerosis of various kinds – just ask Citigroup or Bank of America.&#8221;</p>
<p>Rule of law or rule of human beings? Civilization has advanced largely by increasing the role of law in governing our lives. But the law cannot prevent every ill without becoming a draconian burden, spawning ills of its own. In the end we cannot escape the human factor. Nor should we fear it. We are humans, not machines or cyborgs.</p>
<p>To many suggestions of regulatory reform we get the reply, Yes, but. Or rather, the reply that it will not work because clever executives or lawyers will find a way to evae or subvert the regulations. This reflects a corporate culture that indeed attempts to do just that. Someone pointed out on a different blog recently that if you do a web search for &#8220;citi fines&#8221; you find a record that looks like one from a criminal enterprise. That suggest both a failure of regulation and a serious defect in corporate culture. </p>
<p>Mr. Diamond speaks out for a responsible corporate culture, one in line with traditional American &#8220;main street&#8221; values, not the &#8220;greed is good&#8221; culture of Wall Street. His words are welcome, but that does not mean that we should not improve and strengthen regulation. We need both better regulation and cultural change.</p>
<p>While Diamond&#8217;s personality and character have a great deal to do with the corporate culture of J. P. Morgan, I suspect that that culture has not changed very much from how it was under J. P. Morgan, the man. Remember, it was he who took the lead in the crisis of 1907. </p>
<p>I applaud Mr. Diamond&#8217;s words, and hope that they have some effect upon the corporate cultures of his fellows.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jogos do dia 14 de dezembro, domingo &#124; Ater Internet: Empresa de webdesign &#124; Criacao de sites dinamicos</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17364</link>
		<dc:creator>Jogos do dia 14 de dezembro, domingo &#124; Ater Internet: Empresa de webdesign &#124; Criacao de sites dinamicos</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 03:26:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17364</guid>
		<description>[...]  Snowball: Strategies For Banking Reform I was on a Capitol Hill panel yesterday morning, organized by the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, with Jim [...] [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...]  Snowball: Strategies For Banking Reform I was on a Capitol Hill panel yesterday morning, organized by the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, with Jim [...] [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Top Posts &#171; WordPress.com</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17352</link>
		<dc:creator>Top Posts &#171; WordPress.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 01:33:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17352</guid>
		<description>[...]  Snowball: Strategies For Banking Reform I was on a Capitol Hill panel yesterday morning, organized by the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, with Jim [...] [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...]  Snowball: Strategies For Banking Reform I was on a Capitol Hill panel yesterday morning, organized by the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, with Jim [...] [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: chas</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17350</link>
		<dc:creator>chas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2009 01:05:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17350</guid>
		<description>Simon, you mentioned health care in your post which rung a bell. Health care is provided by doctors, nurses &amp; health care providers, not the government. That is successful doctors, nurses &amp; health care workers. Not failed doctors, nurses &amp; health care workers propped up by the government. And how do we distinguish between successful &amp; failed doctors, etc? The customers &amp; Medical Care Regulators do.

Just like banking is provided by successful banks, not failed banks. And what are failed banks? Those requiring free money stolen from taxpayers to stay in business. Again as with medical care, customers &amp; bank regulators determine which banks are successful &amp; which have failed.

But in this case the hundreds &amp; thousands of banking regulators, up to &amp; including the Chairman of The Federal Reserve &amp; Treasury Secretary, whom we have been paying to prevent bank failures for years, were too dumb to see this crisis coming. Which has been coming for years, not months.

So now the same people who were too dumb to see this crisis coming are trying to tell us they are smart enough to determine when a bank is too big to fail? How can that be? Have they gone from being too dumb to prevent a crash to smart enough to fix it? And also brilliant enough to tell us which banks are too big to fail?  Have they become brilliant overnight by taking some smart pills or something? I seem to be missing something.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Simon, you mentioned health care in your post which rung a bell. Health care is provided by doctors, nurses &amp; health care providers, not the government. That is successful doctors, nurses &amp; health care workers. Not failed doctors, nurses &amp; health care workers propped up by the government. And how do we distinguish between successful &amp; failed doctors, etc? The customers &amp; Medical Care Regulators do.</p>
<p>Just like banking is provided by successful banks, not failed banks. And what are failed banks? Those requiring free money stolen from taxpayers to stay in business. Again as with medical care, customers &amp; bank regulators determine which banks are successful &amp; which have failed.</p>
<p>But in this case the hundreds &amp; thousands of banking regulators, up to &amp; including the Chairman of The Federal Reserve &amp; Treasury Secretary, whom we have been paying to prevent bank failures for years, were too dumb to see this crisis coming. Which has been coming for years, not months.</p>
<p>So now the same people who were too dumb to see this crisis coming are trying to tell us they are smart enough to determine when a bank is too big to fail? How can that be? Have they gone from being too dumb to prevent a crash to smart enough to fix it? And also brilliant enough to tell us which banks are too big to fail?  Have they become brilliant overnight by taking some smart pills or something? I seem to be missing something.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: StatsGuy</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17342</link>
		<dc:creator>StatsGuy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 22:32:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17342</guid>
		<description>The great advantage of the presidency over every other branch of government and agency head and all the lobbyists...  is that he can directly address the people.  Teddy Roosevelt&#039;s bully pulpit.

Obama seems to crave conciliation, however.  And this has been the greatest source of criticism from the moderate left.

But we do not yet know if this is a signal of weakness...  Recognize that the markets stand ready to punish - instantly - even the hint of any &quot;anti-business&quot; legislation, and for the last several months this has heavily constrained his activity.  Consumer and business confidence mattered a lot.

Like Kirk, I suspect the next 2 months will be revealing...  But I&#039;m not quite as pessimistic.  The Obama Administration already surprised us by not rolling over on the warrants repurchasing issue.  Moreover, (as noted earlier) if the general public perceives Obama as having successfully stopped the recession, that lends him the credibility to take his case to Congress (and even go over Congress to the general public).

Interestingly, Obama&#039;s failed initial attempts to win bipartisan support for several initiatives - the stimulus package among them - ended up working to his advantage when he later on pushed the stimulus package through a highly polarized Congress.  He was able to say, &quot;I tried to compromise, but they were intent on throwing up roadblocks.&quot;

And lest we judge too quickly, remember that Teddy Roosevelt didn&#039;t make full use of his latent talents until his second year in office.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The great advantage of the presidency over every other branch of government and agency head and all the lobbyists&#8230;  is that he can directly address the people.  Teddy Roosevelt&#8217;s bully pulpit.</p>
<p>Obama seems to crave conciliation, however.  And this has been the greatest source of criticism from the moderate left.</p>
<p>But we do not yet know if this is a signal of weakness&#8230;  Recognize that the markets stand ready to punish &#8211; instantly &#8211; even the hint of any &#8220;anti-business&#8221; legislation, and for the last several months this has heavily constrained his activity.  Consumer and business confidence mattered a lot.</p>
<p>Like Kirk, I suspect the next 2 months will be revealing&#8230;  But I&#8217;m not quite as pessimistic.  The Obama Administration already surprised us by not rolling over on the warrants repurchasing issue.  Moreover, (as noted earlier) if the general public perceives Obama as having successfully stopped the recession, that lends him the credibility to take his case to Congress (and even go over Congress to the general public).</p>
<p>Interestingly, Obama&#8217;s failed initial attempts to win bipartisan support for several initiatives &#8211; the stimulus package among them &#8211; ended up working to his advantage when he later on pushed the stimulus package through a highly polarized Congress.  He was able to say, &#8220;I tried to compromise, but they were intent on throwing up roadblocks.&#8221;</p>
<p>And lest we judge too quickly, remember that Teddy Roosevelt didn&#8217;t make full use of his latent talents until his second year in office.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: anne</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17328</link>
		<dc:creator>anne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 19:07:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17328</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t know if JP Morgan Chase is truly a well-run company - apparently it is the #1 bank in America.  If it is in that position because its leadership took a pass on the housing market blackjack game that had become so popular in the financial community, then I hope that this kind of leadership snowballs and becomes the norm, not the exception.

What has bothered me most about this crisis is the absolution given to our business leaders - they were richly rewarded for terrible behaviors that led to the crash and now they pay no price, bear no burden for getting the economy back on track.  

The bailout may  have been essential - but it also took accountability off the table for all those who worked so hard to build up the mountain of toxic assets.  They got the money to stay in business (or else!) and they got their bonuses too, for the most part.  If government is to meddle at that level, we cannot continue to reward terrible behavior - that must indeed change.

I&#039;m no Reaganite, but I think Jamie Dimon is right when he says:

&quot;Ultimately, however, it is up to us to manage our own companies wisely. That is why we have what I call a fortress balance sheet. What that means is a significant amount of capital; high quality of capital; strong liquidity; honest, transparent reporting; and excellent risk measurement and management. We have more common tangible equity than many large financial institutions. We&#039;ve always been that way, keeping plenty of liquidity. We have to balance risk taking with doing what&#039;s right for our customers and shareholders. I always say my grandma could have made those crazy profits by taking more risk. But are you building a better business?&quot;

I want the leaders of financial firms - and other American businesses - to truly focus on what it means to build a business - that&#039;s what is missing today.  Government needs to regulate - needs to determine adequate regulations so that the US Treasury Secretary never again must go to Congress and say give us trillions - or else.  Regulations are needed so that our food is not needlessly contaminated in the pursuit of profit; that our drugs are safe and not deadly.

But in the end, if we are to thrive as a culture, our business leaders need to be visionaries - they need to understand that true success comes from wisely running their business, not engaging in risk for the sake of risk, common sense be damned.

We&#039;ve been missing visionary leaders in the American business community lately (not just on Wall Street - look at the airlines, at Motorola, at GM, Chrysler, the NY Times - the list of poorly run American corporations appears endless).  

If Jamie Dimon truly means what he says - and has truly acted responsibly as a leader, then I hope other leaders follow his example.  Then, and only then, will we crawl out of our hole.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know if JP Morgan Chase is truly a well-run company &#8211; apparently it is the #1 bank in America.  If it is in that position because its leadership took a pass on the housing market blackjack game that had become so popular in the financial community, then I hope that this kind of leadership snowballs and becomes the norm, not the exception.</p>
<p>What has bothered me most about this crisis is the absolution given to our business leaders &#8211; they were richly rewarded for terrible behaviors that led to the crash and now they pay no price, bear no burden for getting the economy back on track.  </p>
<p>The bailout may  have been essential &#8211; but it also took accountability off the table for all those who worked so hard to build up the mountain of toxic assets.  They got the money to stay in business (or else!) and they got their bonuses too, for the most part.  If government is to meddle at that level, we cannot continue to reward terrible behavior &#8211; that must indeed change.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m no Reaganite, but I think Jamie Dimon is right when he says:</p>
<p>&#8220;Ultimately, however, it is up to us to manage our own companies wisely. That is why we have what I call a fortress balance sheet. What that means is a significant amount of capital; high quality of capital; strong liquidity; honest, transparent reporting; and excellent risk measurement and management. We have more common tangible equity than many large financial institutions. We&#8217;ve always been that way, keeping plenty of liquidity. We have to balance risk taking with doing what&#8217;s right for our customers and shareholders. I always say my grandma could have made those crazy profits by taking more risk. But are you building a better business?&#8221;</p>
<p>I want the leaders of financial firms &#8211; and other American businesses &#8211; to truly focus on what it means to build a business &#8211; that&#8217;s what is missing today.  Government needs to regulate &#8211; needs to determine adequate regulations so that the US Treasury Secretary never again must go to Congress and say give us trillions &#8211; or else.  Regulations are needed so that our food is not needlessly contaminated in the pursuit of profit; that our drugs are safe and not deadly.</p>
<p>But in the end, if we are to thrive as a culture, our business leaders need to be visionaries &#8211; they need to understand that true success comes from wisely running their business, not engaging in risk for the sake of risk, common sense be damned.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve been missing visionary leaders in the American business community lately (not just on Wall Street &#8211; look at the airlines, at Motorola, at GM, Chrysler, the NY Times &#8211; the list of poorly run American corporations appears endless).  </p>
<p>If Jamie Dimon truly means what he says &#8211; and has truly acted responsibly as a leader, then I hope other leaders follow his example.  Then, and only then, will we crawl out of our hole.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: TonyForesta</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17321</link>
		<dc:creator>TonyForesta</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 17:44:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17321</guid>
		<description>Brilliant and cutting commentary Russ.   Obama&#039;s backtracking and betrayal have shattered what little hope I held in America.   It is now self evident, that America&#039;s government is owned and controlled by, and beholden to the predatorclass and select predatorclass oligarchs.   

All the babel and chari vari bruting the false hopes and hollow promises of reform, change, transparency, accountability, equality, justice for all, liberty, human rights and dignity, and peace on earth and goodwill toward men are empty substantless words, nothing but hot noxious air, &#039;...full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.&quot;

America has shapeshifted into a nation of the predatorclass, by the predatorclass, and for the predatorclass exclusively.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brilliant and cutting commentary Russ.   Obama&#8217;s backtracking and betrayal have shattered what little hope I held in America.   It is now self evident, that America&#8217;s government is owned and controlled by, and beholden to the predatorclass and select predatorclass oligarchs.   </p>
<p>All the babel and chari vari bruting the false hopes and hollow promises of reform, change, transparency, accountability, equality, justice for all, liberty, human rights and dignity, and peace on earth and goodwill toward men are empty substantless words, nothing but hot noxious air, &#8216;&#8230;full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.&#8221;</p>
<p>America has shapeshifted into a nation of the predatorclass, by the predatorclass, and for the predatorclass exclusively.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Fed Up</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/06/12/snowball-strategies-for-banking-reform/#comment-17317</link>
		<dc:creator>Fed Up</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 17:10:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=4046#comment-17317</guid>
		<description>&quot;Also, to Simon’s point without the legitimacy of the Fed the major transfer of wealth to the Oligarchs would not be possible.&quot;

People need to understand what I consider to be the fed&#039;s true function, to maximize debt and maximize the chances of that debt getting repaid (thru taxes, interest payments, and/or bailouts). Debt should be viewed as a weapon about control and transferring wealth.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Also, to Simon’s point without the legitimacy of the Fed the major transfer of wealth to the Oligarchs would not be possible.&#8221;</p>
<p>People need to understand what I consider to be the fed&#8217;s true function, to maximize debt and maximize the chances of that debt getting repaid (thru taxes, interest payments, and/or bailouts). Debt should be viewed as a weapon about control and transferring wealth.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>
