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	<title>Comments on: The Other Stress Test (For Bankers)</title>
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	<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/</link>
	<description>What happened to the global economy and what we can do about it</description>
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		<title>By: Executive profile database – the ready part &#124; AlfadogPR Inc.</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-15030</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Executive profile database – the ready part &#124; AlfadogPR Inc.]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 20:04:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-15030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] For those of you in the financial sector, please check Simon Johnson’s post and [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] For those of you in the financial sector, please check Simon Johnson’s post and [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Make Them Accountable / Media &#38; Politics (Weekend Edition)</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13754</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Make Them Accountable / Media &#38; Politics (Weekend Edition)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2009 16:09:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13754</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] The Other Stress Test (For Bankers) (by Simon Johnson at The Baseline Scenario) Most interesting, of course, is how bankers think. They regard themselves as entitled to outsized compensation that encourages excessive risk taking. They think that insider trading rules apply to other people. And they are convinced that only they – and their friends – are capable of running government in boom or bust (or in ways that boom leads to bust, at which time you buy low and then recover through large implicit support from the government.)… [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] The Other Stress Test (For Bankers) (by Simon Johnson at The Baseline Scenario) Most interesting, of course, is how bankers think. They regard themselves as entitled to outsized compensation that encourages excessive risk taking. They think that insider trading rules apply to other people. And they are convinced that only they – and their friends – are capable of running government in boom or bust (or in ways that boom leads to bust, at which time you buy low and then recover through large implicit support from the government.)… [...]</p>
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		<title>By: cycs</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13685</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[cycs]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2009 00:01:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13685</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One thing I&#039;m doing, and urging friends to do, is to write to my Congressmen and tell them that if this madness doesn&#039;t stop, I will find someone else to vote for.

It also can&#039;t hurt to remind them that the taxpayers pay their salaries, pensions, and healthcare benefits, while the bankers only pay for their campaigns.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One thing I&#8217;m doing, and urging friends to do, is to write to my Congressmen and tell them that if this madness doesn&#8217;t stop, I will find someone else to vote for.</p>
<p>It also can&#8217;t hurt to remind them that the taxpayers pay their salaries, pensions, and healthcare benefits, while the bankers only pay for their campaigns.</p>
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		<title>By: Bruce</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13634</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Bruce]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 14:14:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13634</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My bad, Che may have been a bad example. How about Robin Hood. I could get behind that guy. Nothing on earth would give me more pleasure than just taking money from these arrogant asses and building free homes for the homeless with it.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My bad, Che may have been a bad example. How about Robin Hood. I could get behind that guy. Nothing on earth would give me more pleasure than just taking money from these arrogant asses and building free homes for the homeless with it.</p>
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		<title>By: Bruce</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13633</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Bruce]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 14:09:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13633</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sometimes I think anything short of a beret and an AK-47 will not even get their attention.. Good thing I got Jesus.. Where is Che Guevara? Wait CIA popped a cap in his ass.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sometimes I think anything short of a beret and an AK-47 will not even get their attention.. Good thing I got Jesus.. Where is Che Guevara? Wait CIA popped a cap in his ass.</p>
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		<title>By: Suburban Guerrilla &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Other Stress Test</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13629</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Suburban Guerrilla &#187; Blog Archive &#187; The Other Stress Test]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 13:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13629</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] Simon Johnson at Baseline Scenario: There is nothing you can teach Wall Street titans regarding the timing of news flow. Stephen Friedman, the former head of Goldman Sachs, resigned last night as chair of the New York Fed’s board, after committing essentially a rookie error. In December/January, he traded the stock of a company (Goldman) overseen by the NY Fed, while helping to pick a new head of the Fed (formerly from Goldman), and presumably being aware of other potentially nonpublic information regarding bank rescues (benefiting Goldman both directly and indirectly). The real error, given the Federal Reserve System’s incredibly lax rules on potential conflicts of interest at this level, was failing to disclose this information to the NY Fed – they learned it from WSJ reporters and that cannot have been a good moment. [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Simon Johnson at Baseline Scenario: There is nothing you can teach Wall Street titans regarding the timing of news flow. Stephen Friedman, the former head of Goldman Sachs, resigned last night as chair of the New York Fed’s board, after committing essentially a rookie error. In December/January, he traded the stock of a company (Goldman) overseen by the NY Fed, while helping to pick a new head of the Fed (formerly from Goldman), and presumably being aware of other potentially nonpublic information regarding bank rescues (benefiting Goldman both directly and indirectly). The real error, given the Federal Reserve System’s incredibly lax rules on potential conflicts of interest at this level, was failing to disclose this information to the NY Fed – they learned it from WSJ reporters and that cannot have been a good moment. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: anakngeblog</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13611</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[anakngeblog]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 07:10:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13611</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[go to http://anakngeblog.wordpress.com/ if you lost math lesson]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>go to <a href="http://anakngeblog.wordpress.com/" rel="nofollow">http://anakngeblog.wordpress.com/</a> if you lost math lesson</p>
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		<title>By: some guy in a cube</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13604</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[some guy in a cube]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 03:41:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13604</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think you must realize by now that it&#039;s time to collect whatever marbles you have left and head home. 

It&#039;s game-over. The bankers have won. 

And you&#039;re gonna just love the new economy they&#039;ve spun from the mess they made. Millions of useless private and public sector jobs will be created to keep them safe from you and well-fed from the blood and sweat of your toil.

And all of these millions of useless jobs will merely serve to amplify the dysfunction and rot that is so pervasive in our greatest institutions.

So get back to work you slackers, you&#039;ve got a lot of useless work to do, and generations of debt that you owe to these bankers.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you must realize by now that it&#8217;s time to collect whatever marbles you have left and head home. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s game-over. The bankers have won. </p>
<p>And you&#8217;re gonna just love the new economy they&#8217;ve spun from the mess they made. Millions of useless private and public sector jobs will be created to keep them safe from you and well-fed from the blood and sweat of your toil.</p>
<p>And all of these millions of useless jobs will merely serve to amplify the dysfunction and rot that is so pervasive in our greatest institutions.</p>
<p>So get back to work you slackers, you&#8217;ve got a lot of useless work to do, and generations of debt that you owe to these bankers.</p>
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		<title>By: sizzler</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13600</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sizzler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 00:35:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13600</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Forget the regulators.  The banks went bust because their management structure doesn&#039;t work.  How else can anyone explain a big bank failing to make a health profit on 12x leverage while paying depositors just 5% and charging borrowers 7%.  It beggars belief.  In fact the leverage was way over 12.  It&#039;s not just the top management who were incompetent.  From top to bottom the structure took a wrong turn.  Experienced shopfloor were ignored then distrusted. Their authority ripped away and with it went the quality control.  Their input replaced with surveys, tick boxs and target management.  It didn&#039;t work and no amount of regualtion will make it work.
Propping them up with ridiculously low rates of interest on deposits (they should be over 25% with ease) and govt handouts and guarentees that are going to cost us a fortune is a total waste of time.
Watch the UK.  The govt there will change next year and the conservatives have made clear they are going to break up the banks, let the insolvent ones fail and encourage new entrants.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forget the regulators.  The banks went bust because their management structure doesn&#8217;t work.  How else can anyone explain a big bank failing to make a health profit on 12x leverage while paying depositors just 5% and charging borrowers 7%.  It beggars belief.  In fact the leverage was way over 12.  It&#8217;s not just the top management who were incompetent.  From top to bottom the structure took a wrong turn.  Experienced shopfloor were ignored then distrusted. Their authority ripped away and with it went the quality control.  Their input replaced with surveys, tick boxs and target management.  It didn&#8217;t work and no amount of regualtion will make it work.<br />
Propping them up with ridiculously low rates of interest on deposits (they should be over 25% with ease) and govt handouts and guarentees that are going to cost us a fortune is a total waste of time.<br />
Watch the UK.  The govt there will change next year and the conservatives have made clear they are going to break up the banks, let the insolvent ones fail and encourage new entrants.</p>
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		<title>By: comet schmutz on the comet tail</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13597</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[comet schmutz on the comet tail]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 23:03:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13597</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Coffee Boy writes: 

&quot;Of course, i’m painting broad strokes, and there is a very annoying caveat to the story: the middle men between John Paulson and AIG (GS, MS, etc.) still paid themselves bonuses, which they would have been unable to do without the taxpayer support. Even AIG itself paid out bonuses despite its egregious risk management techniques. This is obviously annoying, but I’d rather this, than every end investor who thought they’d hedged themselves against a downturn, be completely screwed.&quot;

I&#039;m sorry, but that&#039;s a less-than-cogent argument for NOT letting the middleman go down. (As Joey Heller wrote somewhat tongue-in-cheek in &quot;Catch-22&quot;, why not eliminate the middleman?) 

If, in fact, we are funneling money to pension funds, wouldn&#039;t it be more transparent, democratic, and efficient to give the money to them DIRECTLY and have let Goldman Sachs, AIG, et cetera to die as the free market mandated they should?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Coffee Boy writes: </p>
<p>&#8220;Of course, i’m painting broad strokes, and there is a very annoying caveat to the story: the middle men between John Paulson and AIG (GS, MS, etc.) still paid themselves bonuses, which they would have been unable to do without the taxpayer support. Even AIG itself paid out bonuses despite its egregious risk management techniques. This is obviously annoying, but I’d rather this, than every end investor who thought they’d hedged themselves against a downturn, be completely screwed.&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sorry, but that&#8217;s a less-than-cogent argument for NOT letting the middleman go down. (As Joey Heller wrote somewhat tongue-in-cheek in &#8220;Catch-22&#8243;, why not eliminate the middleman?) </p>
<p>If, in fact, we are funneling money to pension funds, wouldn&#8217;t it be more transparent, democratic, and efficient to give the money to them DIRECTLY and have let Goldman Sachs, AIG, et cetera to die as the free market mandated they should?</p>
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		<title>By: Coffee Boy</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13595</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Coffee Boy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 22:54:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13595</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You misunderstand my point. If bailout money to AIG went in one door and out the other, the question is where did it go? Sure, some went to big banks like Goldman, but unless you trace the extremely interconnected web of CDS trades, you won&#039;t know if it then went from Goldman elsewhere. What we do know, is that given that AIG was a net seller of protection, the ultimate beneficiary was probably a net buyer of protection (and i-banks like GS and MS were intermediaries between the two). Who was a net buyer of CDS protection? Hedge Funds such as Paulson &amp; Co. Ok fine, John Paulson is rich and I&#039;m not, but I still respect the man for delivering returns to his investors during the toughest market environment in living memory. And guess what? Your pension fund is likely invested in Paulson &amp; Co as well as other similar hedge funds. So when the US govt bailed out AIG, it effectively bailed out the broader investing universe, and that means it bailed out anyone with savings or retirement money that is managed by someone else.

Of course, i&#039;m painting broad strokes, and there is a very annoying caveat to the story: the middle men between John Paulson and AIG (GS, MS, etc.) still paid themselves bonuses, which they would have been unable to do without the taxpayer support. Even AIG itself paid out bonuses despite its egregious risk management techniques. This is obviously annoying, but I&#039;d rather this, than every end investor who thought they&#039;d hedged themselves against a downturn, be completely screwed.

All I&#039;m saying is that before people criticize CDS and other derivatives, they should try and figure out the entire picture. A CDS can be a very dangerous instrument because its a &quot;contingent liability,&quot; ie, for the seller it can result in losses far greater than the premium earned. But we&#039;ve had contingent liability type derivatives for decades....they are called options. The options market is very liquid, transparent, and well-functioning, and thats primarily because of the elimination of counterparty risk. The CDS market isn&#039;t dangerous because of the &quot;contingent liability&quot; aspect - its dangerous because the market hasn&#039;t dealt with margin and counterparty-processes correctly. In the options market everyone, dealers and investors alike, have to post margin to a clearinghouse. This limits the implicit leverage in the system. In the credit markets, margin was only posted &quot;one-way,&quot; as in hedge funds posted margin to dealers, but not the other way around. So the implicit leverage in investment-banking credit desks was much higher than for hedge funds. As well, the entire market could be screwed by the collapse of a single counterparty (AIG). But if the options market operated in the same way, it would be just as dangerous. Some wise guy at an insurance company would have realized that he could sell some 1100 puts on the S&amp;P and boost his division&#039;s revenue by a tidy amount. September comes around and he&#039;s driven his firm bankrupt. 

If CDS moves to a clearinghouse, and there&#039;s two way margin-posting, I argue that it becomes just as useful and necessary an instrument as a stock option.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You misunderstand my point. If bailout money to AIG went in one door and out the other, the question is where did it go? Sure, some went to big banks like Goldman, but unless you trace the extremely interconnected web of CDS trades, you won&#8217;t know if it then went from Goldman elsewhere. What we do know, is that given that AIG was a net seller of protection, the ultimate beneficiary was probably a net buyer of protection (and i-banks like GS and MS were intermediaries between the two). Who was a net buyer of CDS protection? Hedge Funds such as Paulson &amp; Co. Ok fine, John Paulson is rich and I&#8217;m not, but I still respect the man for delivering returns to his investors during the toughest market environment in living memory. And guess what? Your pension fund is likely invested in Paulson &amp; Co as well as other similar hedge funds. So when the US govt bailed out AIG, it effectively bailed out the broader investing universe, and that means it bailed out anyone with savings or retirement money that is managed by someone else.</p>
<p>Of course, i&#8217;m painting broad strokes, and there is a very annoying caveat to the story: the middle men between John Paulson and AIG (GS, MS, etc.) still paid themselves bonuses, which they would have been unable to do without the taxpayer support. Even AIG itself paid out bonuses despite its egregious risk management techniques. This is obviously annoying, but I&#8217;d rather this, than every end investor who thought they&#8217;d hedged themselves against a downturn, be completely screwed.</p>
<p>All I&#8217;m saying is that before people criticize CDS and other derivatives, they should try and figure out the entire picture. A CDS can be a very dangerous instrument because its a &#8220;contingent liability,&#8221; ie, for the seller it can result in losses far greater than the premium earned. But we&#8217;ve had contingent liability type derivatives for decades&#8230;.they are called options. The options market is very liquid, transparent, and well-functioning, and thats primarily because of the elimination of counterparty risk. The CDS market isn&#8217;t dangerous because of the &#8220;contingent liability&#8221; aspect &#8211; its dangerous because the market hasn&#8217;t dealt with margin and counterparty-processes correctly. In the options market everyone, dealers and investors alike, have to post margin to a clearinghouse. This limits the implicit leverage in the system. In the credit markets, margin was only posted &#8220;one-way,&#8221; as in hedge funds posted margin to dealers, but not the other way around. So the implicit leverage in investment-banking credit desks was much higher than for hedge funds. As well, the entire market could be screwed by the collapse of a single counterparty (AIG). But if the options market operated in the same way, it would be just as dangerous. Some wise guy at an insurance company would have realized that he could sell some 1100 puts on the S&amp;P and boost his division&#8217;s revenue by a tidy amount. September comes around and he&#8217;s driven his firm bankrupt. </p>
<p>If CDS moves to a clearinghouse, and there&#8217;s two way margin-posting, I argue that it becomes just as useful and necessary an instrument as a stock option.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13592</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Anonymous]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 22:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13592</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[That&#039;s what I hear. Shared a taxi last night with a good friend who&#039;s at JPMorgan Chase. He says the firm is having a banner year (to date) in credit derivatives--and that they&#039;d prefer to keep this quiet. So all of you Baseliners just keep that to yourselves.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s what I hear. Shared a taxi last night with a good friend who&#8217;s at JPMorgan Chase. He says the firm is having a banner year (to date) in credit derivatives&#8211;and that they&#8217;d prefer to keep this quiet. So all of you Baseliners just keep that to yourselves.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: markets.aurelius</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13591</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[markets.aurelius]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 22:16:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here you go, Bud:

http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/03/exclusive-aig-was-responsible-for-banks.html

We&#039;ll wait while you catch up.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here you go, Bud:</p>
<p><a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/03/exclusive-aig-was-responsible-for-banks.html" rel="nofollow">http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/03/exclusive-aig-was-responsible-for-banks.html</a></p>
<p>We&#8217;ll wait while you catch up.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: markets.aurelius</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13590</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[markets.aurelius]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 22:11:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13590</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[CB, these folks are not to be counted among the &quot;Many smart investors (hedge funds, GS, etc.) have been raking it in by getting the right side of the markets.&quot;  They&#039;re rigging the game, as most everyone who&#039;s in the markets realizes, such that they cannot fail.  The basic idea is to use AIG as a conduit to funnel taxpayer $$ to the banks and HFs.  Read this:

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/03/duh-hedge-funds-bought-aig-credit.html

When the welfare system has been sucked dry, these guys are going to have to find another sucker to play the game.  So far their customer have been torched and the federal govt&#039;s getting tired of being the patsy (Congress is becoming increasingly restive in approving more tunneling, ... er ... funneling, ... er ... what exactly would this be called?  It&#039;s certainly not capitalism.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CB, these folks are not to be counted among the &#8220;Many smart investors (hedge funds, GS, etc.) have been raking it in by getting the right side of the markets.&#8221;  They&#8217;re rigging the game, as most everyone who&#8217;s in the markets realizes, such that they cannot fail.  The basic idea is to use AIG as a conduit to funnel taxpayer $$ to the banks and HFs.  Read this:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/03/duh-hedge-funds-bought-aig-credit.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/03/duh-hedge-funds-bought-aig-credit.html</a></p>
<p>When the welfare system has been sucked dry, these guys are going to have to find another sucker to play the game.  So far their customer have been torched and the federal govt&#8217;s getting tired of being the patsy (Congress is becoming increasingly restive in approving more tunneling, &#8230; er &#8230; funneling, &#8230; er &#8230; what exactly would this be called?  It&#8217;s certainly not capitalism.</p>
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		<title>By: DesolationRow</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2009/05/08/the-other-stress-test-for-bankers/#comment-13585</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[DesolationRow]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2009 21:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=3588#comment-13585</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This may be a dumb question but is there a reason for any sort of risk premium now on TBTF bank bonds?  I guess maybe a little for political risk in that future administrations may act/think differently than the current?  But it seems to me like the precedence has been set...especially if a recovery takes hold.  And so then, might the premium for smaller (or more expendable) banks actually go up?  If so, will they be able to remain competitive?  Have we guaranteed ourselves a future with only a few TBTF banks?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This may be a dumb question but is there a reason for any sort of risk premium now on TBTF bank bonds?  I guess maybe a little for political risk in that future administrations may act/think differently than the current?  But it seems to me like the precedence has been set&#8230;especially if a recovery takes hold.  And so then, might the premium for smaller (or more expendable) banks actually go up?  If so, will they be able to remain competitive?  Have we guaranteed ourselves a future with only a few TBTF banks?</p>
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