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	<title>Comments on: Japan for Beginners</title>
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	<description>What happened to the global economy and what we can do about it</description>
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		<title>By: Excellent Japan Scenario Overview &#171; The Durable Investor</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2008/12/21/japan-for-beginners/#comment-2187</link>
		<dc:creator>Excellent Japan Scenario Overview &#171; The Durable Investor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2008 23:44:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=1672#comment-2187</guid>
		<description>[...] 23, 2008 &#183; No Comments  Over the weekend The Baseline Scenario posted an excellent overview of the Japan Scenario.  I&#8217;ve discussed the similarities between [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] 23, 2008 &middot; No Comments  Over the weekend The Baseline Scenario posted an excellent overview of the Japan Scenario.  I&#8217;ve discussed the similarities between [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Gli Liphon</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2008/12/21/japan-for-beginners/#comment-2175</link>
		<dc:creator>Gli Liphon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2008 13:52:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=1672#comment-2175</guid>
		<description>Another great article James.  It seems like every month we are in this we move closer and closer to repeating what happened to Japan.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another great article James.  It seems like every month we are in this we move closer and closer to repeating what happened to Japan.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2008/12/21/japan-for-beginners/#comment-2171</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2008 09:42:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Question: What was and is the spending pattern of Japanese consumers before the bubble burst in late 80s or early 90s and today?

Since US is consumer driven economy, how will we recover if consumers just don&#039;t spend. Other countries seem to have very conservative consumer base so who will take in the exports even if we start producing? 

US and Europe were the biggest consumers for Japan&#039;s eventual recovery through exports.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Question: What was and is the spending pattern of Japanese consumers before the bubble burst in late 80s or early 90s and today?</p>
<p>Since US is consumer driven economy, how will we recover if consumers just don&#8217;t spend. Other countries seem to have very conservative consumer base so who will take in the exports even if we start producing? </p>
<p>US and Europe were the biggest consumers for Japan&#8217;s eventual recovery through exports.</p>
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		<title>By: Karl</title>
		<link>http://baselinescenario.com/2008/12/21/japan-for-beginners/#comment-2170</link>
		<dc:creator>Karl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2008 08:39:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baselinescenario.com/?p=1672#comment-2170</guid>
		<description>The government response is sadly similar to the Japanese crisis in the goals.  The mechanisms may be different.  In both situations though government, banks and businessess are ignoring the 300 lb gorilla in the room,  overvaluation.  They are expecting TIME will eventually allow everyone to recognize a real profit.

It&#039;s obvious there are still people with money and they are waiting for the assets to be correctly priced.  The U.S., like Japan is fighting that fact.  

The major advantage the U.S. has relative to Japan is the significantly open and free markets.  If that changes to protectionism and over regulation (aka National Industrial Policy), as indicated by the Detroit bailout, watch out below. 

Japan doesn&#039;t care what happens to the rest of the world as long as it doesn&#039;t interfere with their planned economy.  They have given up on being a major force on the world stage and are trying to exploit certain advantages they have engineered in their social structure.  They are an island nation that does not have much interest in trade. The Japanese are quitessential isolationists, with no long term hopes for the prosperity enjoyed by the U.S. and pursued by China and India.  Demographics are working against them and their export only policy cannot make up for it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The government response is sadly similar to the Japanese crisis in the goals.  The mechanisms may be different.  In both situations though government, banks and businessess are ignoring the 300 lb gorilla in the room,  overvaluation.  They are expecting TIME will eventually allow everyone to recognize a real profit.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s obvious there are still people with money and they are waiting for the assets to be correctly priced.  The U.S., like Japan is fighting that fact.  </p>
<p>The major advantage the U.S. has relative to Japan is the significantly open and free markets.  If that changes to protectionism and over regulation (aka National Industrial Policy), as indicated by the Detroit bailout, watch out below. </p>
<p>Japan doesn&#8217;t care what happens to the rest of the world as long as it doesn&#8217;t interfere with their planned economy.  They have given up on being a major force on the world stage and are trying to exploit certain advantages they have engineered in their social structure.  They are an island nation that does not have much interest in trade. The Japanese are quitessential isolationists, with no long term hopes for the prosperity enjoyed by the U.S. and pursued by China and India.  Demographics are working against them and their export only policy cannot make up for it.</p>
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